
Welcome to the Cloud Wars Minute — your daily cloud news and commentary show. Each episode provides insights and perspectives around the “reimagination machine” that is the cloud.
In today’s Cloud Wars Minute, I explore the strategic shifts major cloud companies are making to meet explosive AI demand, not because of overcapacity.
Highlights
00:17 — Data centers are booming. No, no, wait, they’re being cut back. There’s too much capacity. The sky is falling. What the hell is going to happen? I think it’s the exact opposite of these doom and gloom ideas. I think we’re seeing Oracle and Google Cloud accelerating their moves into data center and AI infrastructure, while AWS and Microsoft are moving along very steadily.
01:13 — It’s hard to imagine how far in advance these data centers have to be planned. Where two or three years ago, AWS and Microsoft felt, “Okay, we’re gonna need this much in this region,” they’re saying, “Not so much there, but we need more over here.” Reallocating resources. The fake news stuff is “There’s overcapacity. There never was this much demand for AI,” and so on.

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02:34 — AWS is investing $100 billion in 2025 in its AI and cloud infrastructure. I don’t think that sounds like a pullback. Microsoft: $80 billion. Microsoft’s Noelle Walsh wrote a blog post a few weeks ago and said, “We think we’ve got the science and the forecasting and the demand forecasting … but there are always adjustments that have to be made.”
03:28 — A lot of folks in the media took that and said, “Oh, the sky’s falling in. All these data centers are going to shut down. This AI thing is going to fizzle. And there’s way too much capacity,” It’s crazy. Right now, here in these early days, I think companies — a lot of companies — are still feeling their way along.
04:17 — We hear a lot about agents and their potential. More and more, I hear companies saying, “We don’t have to do 1,000 of these, but we need to do 10 or 20 really, really well.” That seems to be the way that companies want to go. As far as the Big Four hyperscalers and their data center buildout, I think they are all moving along very nicely.